How Should NFL Bettors in NY Size Up Primetime Games?

How Should NFL Bettors in NY Size Up Primetime Games?
Fact Checked by Pat McLoone

It’s never too early to start looking at ways to improve your New York sports betting odds on the upcoming NFL season, so EmpireStakes.com decided to look at one of the most popular wagers – the over/under – and how it performed last season in primetime games.

Overall, based on last year – and last year does not guarantee the same results this year – betting the under was the way to go. It covered nearly 62% of the time. Every night of the week there was professional football, the under paid off more than the over, and on Sunday nights, the under paid off twice as often. Maybe the players were worn out from watching football all day.

Here are the full results:

NFL Primetime Over-Under in 2022

Day/GamesAverage ScoreOver/Under
Thursday Night Football (17 Games)25.5-15.27 Over, 10 Under
Sunday Night Football (18 Games)25-16.76 Over, 12 Under
Monday Night Football (17 Games)26.6-13.66 Over, 9 Under, 2 Push
Saturday Night Football (3 Games)21.7-18.31 Over, 2 Under
TOTALS25.4-15.520 Over (38.18%), 33 Under (61.82%), 2 Push

 

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How NY Teams Fared in Primetime Last Season

Except for the Buffalo Bills, our three New York teams had very few primetime games last season.

Buffalo enters the 2023 season again looking to get to the Super Bowl. Earlier this year, EmpireStakes.com anointed the Bills fans No. 2 among obsessed fanbases in the NFL.

Buffalo kicked off the 2022 season in a Sept. 8 Thursday night game and walloped the L.A. Rams in Los Angeles, 31-10 (Under 52). They next played at home on Monday, Sept. 19, and punished the Tennessee Titans, 41-7 (a bad beat for the under as the 48 total just crept Over 47.5). On Sunday, Oct. 30, the home Bills beat the Green Bay Packers 27-17 (Under 47).  On Thursday, Dec. 1, they won in New England, 24-10 (Under 43.5). So, in their four nationally televised night games, the Bills went 4-0 and 3-1 under. Go defense.

The New York Jets’ playoff odds soared with the acquisition of quarterback Aaron Rodgers.

Last season continued the Under trend with their lone primetime effort – effort being generous – a 19-3 home defeat to the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday, Dec. 22. Unsurprisingly, that was a winning under also (Under 36.5).

The New York Giants also only had one game after dark, a 23-16 home loss to the Dallas Cowboys on Monday, Sept. 26. That game was another bad beat for the under as the total was 39, Over 38.5.

That means in six 2022 primetime games, the New York teams went 4-2 under and the two overs cleared by half a point.

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Looking at Primetime 2023

New York sports betting apps know to forget what happened in 2002 when determining odds this season. Bettors in the state will have a lot more chances at wagers in primetime games with New York teams.

The Bills have six primetime contests, the Jets have five as part of a brutal schedule – there seems to be TV interest in their new quarterback - and the Giants, coming off a playoff season, also have five. 

In 2023, the Bills are at the Jets on Monday. Sept. 11, they host the Giants on Sunday, Oct. 15, they host the Buccaneers on Thursday, Oct. 26, they’re at the Bengals on Sunday, Nov. 5, they host the Broncos on Monday, Nov. 13, and they’re at the Chargers Saturday, Dec. 23.

The Jets host the Bills on Monday, Sept. 11, they host the Chiefs on Sunday, Oct. 1, they host the Chargers on Monday, Nov. 6, then are at the Raiders on Sunday, Nov. 12. They are at the Browns on Thursday, Dec. 28. The Jets also have a weird Thanksgiving Friday afternoon game at home against the Dolphins.

The Giants play the Cowboys at home on Sunday, Sept. 9, the 49ers in San Francisco on Thursday, Sept. 21, they host the Seahawks on Monday, Oct. 2, are at the Bills on Sunday, Oct. 15, and host the Packers on Monday, Dec. 11.

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Author

Howard Gensler is a veteran journalist who’s worked at the Philadelphia Daily News, TV Guide and the Philadelphia Inquirer and is a founding editor of bettorsinsider.com.

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