Betting Experts Tracking the New York Giants Super Bowl Odds: Week 4

By Chris Wassel
Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley celebrate

3 Key Takeaways

  • The Giants' Super Bowl odds are still +7500 after Week 3, according to DraftKings New York Sportsbook, longer than all but 11 NFL teams.
  • Implied probability gives the New York Giants a 1.32% chance of winning this year’s Super Bowl.
  • New York's Super Bowl odds opened this offseason at +4000 and have gotten longer.

The 2022 Giants exceeded expectations in rookie Brian Daboll’s first season as head coach. Daboll helped fourth-year QB Daniel Jones lead the offense to improved results and a 9-7-1 record. The coach won AP Coach Of The Year and got New York in the postseason. Daboll returned with RB Saquon Barkley and a good deal of hope.

In 2023, Daboll must nurse the offense along without Barkley for potentially a few more weeks as he also works to improve a defense projected 23rd in Football Outsiders metric DVOA. It’s for this reason that the Giants' Super Bowl odds are now +7500. The Giants' line of scrimmage issues are a big reason for this number. I’ll be tracking and analyzing the New York Giants' Super Bowl odds daily now through the end of their 2023 season. I’ll also monitor their conference chances and their division odds. 

The Giants' playoff chances were 38.5% after the preseason. In a mere three weeks, those chances have dipped to 19%.


Giants' Super Bowl 58 Odds: September 2023

The Giants' Super Bowl odds of +7500 at DraftKings New York Sportsbook rank in the bottom third of the league. The Giants' odds to win the conference are +6000, ranking them tied for 12th in the NFC, and their odds to win the NFC East are +3500, now last in the division. Below I've compiled DraftKings' latest odds for the Giants to win the Super Bowl, NFC and NFC East, as well as the Giants' playoff odds:

πŸ† Odds to Win SBLVIII+7500
πŸ‘‘ Odds to Win NFC+5500
⭐ Odds to Win NFC East+2500
πŸ”₯ Odds to Make Playoffs+370
❌ Odds to Miss Playoffs-500

The Giants' Super Bowl odds got longer, from +4000 in early May to +7500 now. Their +6000 odds to win the conference put them at the tail end of a congested NFC, while their +3500 odds are dead last in the NFC East.

The NYG Super Bowl odds, and the Giants' ranking among all 32 teams, change depending on the NY sportsbooks you ultimately choose. BetMGM NY has lengthened to +12500, 23rd-best in the NFL, while FanDuel NY has plummeted to +13000, which is tied for 26th.

DraftKings offers +6000 after Week 3 on the Giants to win the NFC, good for 12th in the conference. That puts them on the outside looking in for the playoffs. FanDuel NY has the Giants' NFC odds at +5500, which keeps them 13th place after Week 3. BetMGM NY has the Giants' odds at +5000, but that puts them tied at No. 12 in the conference in their rankings.

Every major NY sportsbook now has the Giants finishing last in the NFC East after Week 1. After the preseason, they were entrenched in third. The Giants' main competition this season will be the reigning NFC champion Eagles, as well as the Cowboys. The Eagles are favored to win the division and the NFC, and rank No. 2 or 3 in Super Bowl odds according to every major sportsbook.

The Giants offense had high expectations going into the season, but scored no points through six quarters in 2023. Then, New York got going on Sunday in Arizona scoring 31 points. However, in the comeback win, they lost Saquon Barkley for three weeks with a sprained ankle. That sunk any chances f beating San Francisco as they dropped to 1-2 after a 30-12 defeat.  

I’ll be tracking all news and developments that affect Giants' odds of winning the Super Bowl, the NFC and the NFC East.

Giants' Super Bowl Odds vs. NFC East

The New York Giants have the worst odds among NFC East teams to win the Super Bowl at +7500. That gives them a 1.32% chance of lifting the Vince Lombardi Trophy.

The odds are stacked against the Giants in 2023. New York needs to sweep Washington and at least split against Philadelphia and Dallas. Realistically, it will need several upsets to have any hopes of making a deep run to the Super Bowl.

Giants Week-by-Week Super Bowl Odds

Preseason+6500 (1.5% chance)
After Week 1+7000 (1.41% chance)
After Week 2+7500 (1.32% chance)
After Week 3+7500 (1.32% chance)

This number may head further south if they lose to Seattle this week as they face Miami and Buffalo next. New York's chances have slowly dropped since the preseason.

Latest Updates Impacting Giants Super Bowl Odds

The New York Giants odds to win the Super Bowl are certain to fluctuate from now until the end of the season. I’ll be tracking all pertinent updates and team developments for the New York Giants and explain how it may affect their chances of winning this year’s Super Bowl LVIII.

  • πŸ“… September 18: Giants announce RB Saquon Barkley will miss three weeks with an ankle sprain. Andrew Thomas may not play again in Week 3, and Azeez Ojulari may not either.
  • πŸ“… September 8: Giants extend K Graham Gano for three years at $16.5 million. Almost $11.3 million of the contract is fully guaranteed.
  • πŸ“… September 3: Giants restructure $6.3 million worth of Daniel Jones' contract. It may or may not mean a move is coming as this creates more salary cap flexibility.
  • πŸ“… August 24: Giants acquire DB/LB Isaiah Simmons from the Arizona Cardinals for a 2024 seventh-round pick. RT Evan Neal out of concussion protocol and good for Week 1.
  • πŸ“… August 6: RT Evan Neal in concussion protocol and is currently questionable for Week 1 versus Dallas. Wan'Dale (activated off PUP list August 29th) and Aaron Robinson expect to return in Week 3.
  • πŸ—“οΈ May 15: ESPN's Mike Clay ranks the Giants defensive line unit ranked No. 1 in the league.
  • πŸ—“οΈ May 4: The Giants sign DT Dexter Lawrence to a four-year extension worth $90M.
  • πŸ—“οΈ April 29: The Giants select Oklahoma RB Eric Gray, Old Dominion CB Tre Hawkins III, Oregon DT Jordon Riley and Houston safety Gervarrius Owens on Day 3 of the 2023 NFL Draft. RB Saquon Barkley's representatives will reconvene with the team on contract talks, per ESPN.
  • πŸ—“οΈ April 28: The Giants select Minnesota OL John Michael Schmitz and Tennessee WR Jalin Hyatt in the second and third rounds, respectively, of the 2023 NFL Draft.
  • πŸ—“οΈ April 27: The Giants select Maryland CB Deonte Banks in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft.
  • πŸ—“οΈ April 24: DT A'Shawn Robinson, who won Super Bowl LVI with the Rams, signs with the Giants on a one-year, $5M deal.
  • πŸ—“οΈ April 17: Team offseason workouts begin. RB Saquon Barkley and DE Dexter Lawrence are not in attendance as their contract disputes continue.
  • πŸ—“οΈ April 12: RB Saquon Barkley does not plan to sign the franchise tag before the team's offseason workouts, per ESPN.
  • πŸ—“οΈ March 23: The Giants sign safety Bobby McCain and WR Jamison Crowder, both to one-year deals.
  • πŸ—“οΈ March 20: WR Darius Slayton returns to the team on a two-year, $12M deal.
  • πŸ—“οΈ March 17: The Giants add former Colts wideout Parris Campbell on a one-year deal worth just under $5M. Former Giants safety Julian Love, who led the team in tackles and interceptions in 2022, signs a two-year deal with the Seahawks.
  • πŸ—“οΈ March 16: Free-agent linebacker Bobby Okereke signs with the team on a four-year, $40M deal.
  • πŸ—“οΈ March 15: The Giants trade with the Las Vegas Raiders for TE Darren Waller in exchange for a third-round draft pick. Fan-favorite WR Sterling Shepard re-signs with the team on a one-year deal. WR Kenny Golladay's contract is terminated, freeing up $6.7M in cap space.
  • πŸ—“οΈ March 8: GM Joe Schoen says the team is working on long-term deals for RB Saquon Barkley and DT Dexter Lawrence.
  • πŸ—“οΈ March 7: The Giants announce they signed QB Daniel Jones to a four-year, $160M contract extension. The Giants place the non-exclusive franchise tag on RB Saquon Barkley, giving the two sides one year to agree to a long-term contract.
  •  πŸ—“️ Feb. 16: The Giants re-sign surprise standout WR Isaiah Hodgins to a one-year deal.

Bookmark this page to remain current on all developments impacting the New York Giants chances of winning the Super Bowl throughout the 2023 NFL season. 

Giants' Schedule and Betting Lines

Starting with Week 1, we examine the New York Giants' playoff chances throughout the 2023 season. New York began the season at 38.5%. After their Week 1 loss, that number dipped to 23.8%. Now, after Week 3, 19% is their chance of making the postseason.

Week 1 vs. Dallas CowboysGiants (0-1) lose 40-0
Week 2 at Arizona CardinalsGiants (1-1) win 31-28
Week 3 at San Francisco 49ersGiants (1-2), lost 30-12
Week 4 vs. Seattle SeahawksGiants -1.5, ML -122
Week 5 at Miami DolphinsGiants +4.5, ML +164
Week 6 at Buffalo BillsGiants +7, ML +240
Week 7 vs. Washington CommandersGiants -2.5, ML -130
Week 8 vs. New York JetsGiants +1.5, ML +102
Week 9 at at Las Vegas RaidersGiants +1.5, ML +100
Week 10 at Dallas CowboysGiants +5.5, ML +180
Week 11 at Washington CommandersGiants -1.5, ML -122
Week 12 vs. New England PatriotsGiants -1.5, ML -120
Week 13BYE
Week 14 vs. Green Bay PackersGiants -2.5, ML -130
Week 15 at New Orleans SaintsGiants +2.5, ML +110
Week 16 at Philadelphia EaglesGiants +7, ML +240
Week 17 vs. Los Angeles RamsGiants -3, ML -166
Week 18 vs. Philadelphia EaglesGiants +3, ML +130
βœ… Data Verified by ExpertSeptember 30, 2023

The New York Giants' face one nasty schedule. Their opposition winning percentage from last year was .549 (tied with New England for third highest). New York is a favorite this week, underdogs for two weeks, and then has a softer stretch from Weeks 7-15.

Unfortunately, with the Saquon Barkley high ankle sprain, that further complicates things for New York. They looked lifeless too often against San Francisco. The Giants barely ran the ball at all as if they gave up.

Monday could very well be New York's last chance. A loss or bad loss may seal their playoff fate.

Key Contributors Affecting Giants' Super Bowl Odds

QB Daniel Jones is now listed at +15000 odds to win MVP and the Offensive Player of the Year award. Jones must face life without RB Saquon Barkley and use weapons like TE Darren Waller, WR Darius Slayton, WR Jalin Hyatt, and a running back by committee approach until Barkley returns.

Saquon Barkley's MVP number has stabilized at +20000, while his OPOY moved to +10000. The most important thing is that Barkley returns healthy. The last two times he rushed back from ankle injuries, he averaged 2.8 yards a carry for a month and 3.5 yards a carry for several weeks.

Wan'Dale Robinson played in Week 3 and hopefully can become more of a factor going forward.

TE Darren Waller has played decent with 132 yards receiving (+15000 for OPOY) in 2023. Waller had three catches and 20 yards on Thursday.

Rookie WR Jalin Hyatt (+10000 for OROY) is a deep route runner who can get open and use his size. Hyatt has managed just two catches in three games for 89 yards.

LB Kayvon Thibodeaux and DE Leonard Williams face high expectations this season. Thibodeaux is +18000 and Williams is +20000 for DPOY. Both players need to step up and soon.

LB Bobby Okereke (+20000 for DPOY) and rookie CB Deonte Banks (+3500 for DROY) continue to slow the run effectively. Banks has an arm injury that has him listed as questionable for Week 4.

OLB Azeez Ojulari (+20000 for DPOY) has been a non-factor early and was again out Week 3 with a hamstring issue.


Where Can I Bet on the Giants to Win the Super Bowl?

Those with interest in betting on the New York Giants to win the Super Bowl are able to do so at any number of nationally accredited, reputable sportsbooks including BetMGM NY, FanDuel NY, Caesars New York and DraftKings New York. Each of these sportsbooks not only will offer odds on the New York Giants to win the Super Bowl but also the 31 other NFL teams.

Please note: Keep track of our experts as they highlight the best NY sportsbook promos weekly. If you're interested in investing in the Giants' Super Bowl odds, you'll want to take advantage of these special offers.


Giants Super Bowl 58 Outlook And Predictions

The New York Giants face quite a task in trying to reach the playoffs, let alone the Super Bowl. Can the Giants' offense find a way to weather missing Barkley for possibly more time while navigating a tough three-game stretch which sees them play Seattle, Miami, and Buffalo. They need help.

Daniel Jones combined for less than 150 yards passing and rushing last week. Teams keyed on Jones as he fell to 1-11 in primetime. Darius Slayton, Darren Waller, Jalin Hyatt, and the rest of the receiving corps could not get open. Maybe Seattle will be more accommodating considering they allow more than 300 yards passing a game.

New York, with this tougher road, will need to upset a few teams to stay in the playoff race. If the Giants make the playoffs, anything is possible. See Super Bowls XLII and XLVI.

One of the biggest red flags going into Week 1 was the Giants controlling the line of scrimmage. Going into Week 4, this keeps occurring. Evan Neal has been less than good, Andrew Thomas is hurt, and the lines keep missing assignments while not generating pressure.

Going into Week 4, New York must spread the ball around and try to run. Daniel Jones must get the ball out quicker and to his receivers. Keeping the offense on the field longer should help the defense. Giving them more field to defend and not making so many mistakes will help keep games close.

Giants' Super Bowl History

Founded in 1925, the Giants are one of the oldest teams in the NFL and are deeply entrenched in Super Bowl lore. The Giants have won four of their five Super Bowl appearances and are one of only six NFL franchises to have four or more Super Bowl championships in their histories. They were victorious in the 1986, 1990, 2007 and 2011 seasons. Their sole Super Bowl loss came in 2000. 

Those successful Giant teams were highlighted by strong head coaches, unrelenting run games, reliable veteran QBs with solid offensive weaponry and aggressive defenses. 

Their first Super Bowl win came in 1986 in Super Bowl 21 vs. the Broncos. That came behind Defensive Player of the Year Lawrence Taylor and head coach Bill Parcells. They would get one more win under Parcells in 1990, in Super Bowl 25 vs. the Bills, before several down seasons. It wasn't until the Eli Manning/Tom Coughlin era that the Giants won two more Super Bowls (2007 and 2011), both famously coming against Tom Brady's Patriots in instant-classic games.

They've made the playoffs in 33 seasons, won their division 16 times and have 11 conference championships.

For the Giants to make it Super Bowl number five, the lines must improve and Barkley must be explosive when he returns.

Below, I broke down more about the history of the Giants in Super Bowls, including answering the most frequently asked questions.

Have The Giants Ever Won The Super Bowl?

Yes, the Giants have the Super Bowl four times in franchise history. The Giants won Super Bowl 21 (1986 season), SB 25 (1990), SB 42 (2007) and SB 46 (2011). Their only loss came after the 2000 season to the Baltimore Ravens. The franchise ranks fifth among all NFL teams in number of Super Bowl wins, tied with the Packers.

Head coach Bill Parcells coached the Super Bowl-winning teams in 21 and 25. In Super Bowl 21, QB Phil Simms set the record for the highest passer rating (150.9) by a quarterback in a Super Bowl, a record that still stands, and he was named MVP. Head coach Tom Coughlin and QB Eli Manning teamed for wins in 42 and 46, both against the Patriots. 

The New York Giants' offense needs its receiving corps and depth to step up. It’s up to Brian Daboll to do something with the defense, which has been largely disappointing. If the defense can complement New York’s offense, it's likely the Giants take a positive step toward a fifth Super Bowl title.

How Many Super Bowls Have The New York Giants Won?

The Giants have won four Super Bowls all time, coming in the 1986, 1990, 2007 and 2011 seasons. The New York Giants have reached the conference championship game five times and won them all. In divisional round games, the Giants are 5-7. The Giants' two most recent Super Bowl wins came against the Tom Brady-Bill Belichick dynasty team in New England. QB Eli Manning was named Super Bowl MVP in both games against the Patriots, becoming one of only five people to be named Super Bowl MVP multiple times.

Prior to the 1970 NFL merger, the Giants won four league championships – in 1927, 1934, 1938 and 1956 – though those predate the the Super Bowl era. The Giants have the most all-time championship appearances with 19.

Which Years Did the Giants Go to the Super Bowl?

  • 1986-87: Giants won Super Bowl 21 vs. the Denver Broncos, 39-20
  • 1990-91: Giants won Super Bowl 25 vs. the Buffalo Bills, 20-19
  • 2000-01: Giants lost Super Bowl 35 to the Baltimore Ravens, 34-7
  • 2007-08: Giants won Super Bowl 42 vs. the New England Patriots, 17-14
  • 2011-12: Giants won Super Bowl 46 vs. the New England Patriots, 21-17

How Many Times Have the Giants Been To The NFC Championship Game?

The New York Giants have been to the NFC Championship Game five times since the NFL-AFL merger. New York is undefeated in those five games, including dramatic wins against the Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers. Both games were decided in overtime and flipped on pivotal turnovers. Many experts forget that when New York goes on a deep run, it results in a Super Bowl spot.

Earlier appearances included a 17-0 windblown victory at home against Washington to advance to Super Bowl 21. Also, there was Matt Bahr's five field goal game, which denied the San Francisco 49ers the chance at a three-peat in 1991. Finally, few could forget the New York Giants' home rout of the Minnesota Vikings in the 2000 NFC Championship (41-0).

Giants Preseason Super Bowl Odds Every Year Since 2000

The Giants' now 75:1 Super Bowl odds this season were still shorter than the +15000 that was hung on them early in 2022. However, many NFL pundits would say the Giants surprise many by making the postseason last year. To give some context to this year's preseason odds, I built this table outlining the Giants' odds to win the Super Bowl every year since 2000:

πŸ“† 2022-2023Preseason Odds = +15000
πŸ“† 2021-2022Preseason Odds = +8000
πŸ“† 2020-2021Preseason Odds = +10000
πŸ“† 2019-2020Preseason Odds = +20000
πŸ“† 2018-2019Preseason Odds = +3000
πŸ“† 2017-2018Preseason Odds = +1200
πŸ“† 2016-2017Preseason Odds = +1800
πŸ“† 2015-2016Preseason Odds = +6000
πŸ“† 2014-2015Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2013-2014Preseason Odds = +2000
πŸ“† 2012-2013Preseason Odds = +2000
πŸ“† 2011-2012Preseason Odds = +2200
πŸ“† 2010-2011Preseason Odds = +2500
πŸ“† 2009-2010Preseason Odds = +1200
πŸ“† 2008-2009Preseason Odds = +2000
πŸ“† 2007-2008Preseason Odds = +3000
πŸ“† 2006-2007Preseason Odds = +1600
πŸ“† 2005-2006Preseason Odds = +7000
πŸ“† 2004-2005Preseason Odds = +2000
πŸ“† 2003-2004Preseason Odds = +2000
πŸ“† 2002-2003Preseason Odds = +4000
πŸ“† 2001-2002Preseason Odds = +1500
πŸ“† 2000-2001Preseason Odds = +6000

The Giants' Super Bowl odds are still shorter now than they’ve been in five years. Several reasons factor into this. Brian Daboll can lead an offense. In tow are QB Daniel Jones, whom Daboll transformed in one year. Now, this offense was 10th in Football Outsiders' DVOA metric at the end of last season. Even without Barkley for three weeks, this offense has some tools to work with.

There are many reasons to be bullish on the Giants' offense, but the team must address glaring weaknesses on defense. The 2022 Giants defense was 29th-ranked (projected 23rd in 2023) in the DVOA system, with a 22nd-ranked pass defense and a 32nd-ranked rush defense – last in the NFL. The Giants must make plays if they hope to get to and win Super Bowl 58.

Have the Giants Ever Been to the Super Bowl?

Yes, the New York Giants have been to the Super Bowl five times. They were victorious in four of the five championship games winning the Super Bowl in the 1986, 1991, 2007 and 2011 seasons. The Mara and Tisch ownership families have a Coach of the Year winner directing an improving team that finished in the top ten of all NFL offenses by the second half of last season. 

Addressing the defense and special teams in the second year under head coach Daboll should provide the Giants continued improvement as they grind their way back to the playoffs for another chance at the Lombardi trophy. 

Giants' Super Bowl


Chris Wassel is a sports writer who has covered hockey and sports betting for many years. He was a beat writer for the New Jersey Devils and worked at several sites. In his 15-plus years of writing, Chris has written for places ranging from USA Today to Canada Sports Betting, numberFire, NHL Rumors, and beyond.

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