NFL Draft: How Much Value Have NY Teams Received from 1st-Round Picks?

NFL Draft: How Much Value Have NY Teams Received from 1st-Round Picks?
Fact Checked by Pat McLoone

Each spring, 32 franchises and their legion of fans use the seven-round NFL Draft as a barometer of their chosen team’s success for the upcoming year, with the results largely being backed up by the way teams play the following year.

So, aimed to see which of the three NFL teams from the state of New York has done best with first-round selections. The results would not surprise New York sportsbooks.

In New York, that success has played out as scripted, with the Buffalo Bills holding the NFL’s fourth-best average when it comes to average approximate value (AV) per draft pick since 2014, at 35.8. Much of that comes from the selection of franchise quarterback Josh Allen in the first round of the 2018 draft. The New York Giants rank 13th leaguewide (28.3 AV per pick) and the New York Jets are 27th, at 22.0 AV per pick.

On the field, Buffalo has posted the NFL’s eighth-best win percentage over that 10-year stretch, at .599, while the Giants (.371) and Jets (.337) are 24th and 25th, respectively.

Utilizing, — your source for NY sportsbook promos — utilized their approximate value statistic to combine the total approximate value of the career of each NFL team’s first-round NFL draft picks from 2014 to 2023. The teams were then ranked on the AV per pick.

NFL Teams AV Total Since 2014


RankTeamTotal Approximate Value# of 1st Round Draft PicksAverage Approximate Value Per Pick
1Los Angeles Rams285471.3
2Dallas Cowboys372941.3
3Chicago Bears253736.1
4Buffalo Bills322935.8
5Tampa Bay Buccaneers312934.7
6Kansas City Chiefs235733.6
7Baltimore Ravens4281332.9
8Indianapolis Colts174629.0
T-9Carolina Panthers2891028.9
T-9Miami Dolphins3181128.9
11Pittsburgh Steelers258928.7
12San Francisco 49ers3141128.5
13New York Giants3401228.3
14Cleveland Browns3371228.1
15New Orleans Saints3361228.0
16Atlanta Falcons3051127.7
17Tennessee Titans2981127.1
18Las Vegas Raiders3151226.3
19Los Angeles Chargers2871126.1
20Denver Broncos203825.4
21Arizona Cardinals226925.1
22Detroit Lions3001225.0
23Washington Commanders2461024.6
24Jacksonville Jaguars2901224.2
25Minnesota Vikings2411024.1
26Houston Texans183822.9
27New York Jets2861322.0
T-28Cincinnati Bengals1911019.1
T-28Green Bay Packers1911019.1
30Philadelphia Eagles1881018.8
31New England Patriots136817.0
32Seattle Seahawks110715.7

Most New York betting apps have the San Francisco 49ers as the Super Bowl favorite early in 2024.

Leaguewide, the Bills have the NFL’s fourth-best AV per first-round draft pick average since 2014, at 35.8, ranking behind the Los Angeles Rams (71.3 AV per pick), Dallas Cowboys (41.3 AV) and Chicago Bears (36.1 AV).

Conversely, the Jets are just outside the bottom five when it comes to AV average, with their total of 22.0 AV, ranking just ahead of the Cincinnati Bengals and Green Bay Packers, who are tied for 28th at 19.1. The Philadelphia Eagles (18.8 AV per pick), New England Patriots (17.0 AV per pick) and Seattle Seahawks (15.7 AV per pick) are the league’s worst teams at drafting for value since 2014.

When broken down by raw AV totals alone, the Baltimore Ravens (428 AV), Dallas Cowboys (372 AV), Giants (340 AV), Cleveland Browns (337 AV) and New Orleans Saints (336 AV) are the NFL’s leaders, though teams like the Giants had a lot more draft capital (12 picks) than the AV-per-pick leaders like the Rams (four picks), Cowboys (nine picks), Bears (seven picks) and Bills (nine picks).

As of the afternoon of March 13, FanDuel NY, the state’s largest operator, has the Bills’ Super Bowl odds at +1200, fourth-best among the NFL’s 32 teams. The Jets, with the expected return of Aaron Rodgers, are tied for 12th with the Rams and Falcons at +3000. The Giants are way back in the pack at +10000.

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Christopher Boan writes for and has been covering sports and sports betting for more than seven years, with experience at, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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