New York Giants Playoff Chances 2023: Tracking the NY Giants Playoff Picture

Another close New York Giants (4-8) win over New England this time has kept the door cracked once more as far as a playoff spot goes. The Giants' playoff chances are still 3.85% according to most New York sportsbooks after 12 weeks.

Saquon Barkley reaches for touchdown

Latest New York Giants Playoff Chances

The Giants chances of making the playoffs stabilized at 3.85% after Week 12. More on the Giants playoff picture is listed below:

💪 Giants Playoff Chances3.85% chance
Giants Miss Playoffs96.15% chance
🏆 Giants Win Super Bowl0.1% chance
👑 Giants Win NFC0.1% chance
🔥 Giants Win NFC East0% chance (OTB)
Chances Last UpdatedNovember 30, 2023

The Giants' playoff picture is calculated using the implied probability of the team's odds to make the postseason. Converting the Giants' current odds of +2500 to make the playoffs provides the 3.85% chance highlighted above. That leaves a 96.15% chance for the Giants to miss the playoffs.

Giants Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

We will examine the New York Giants' playoff chances throughout the 2023 season.

Preseason38.5% chance
After Week 123.8% chance
After Week 221.3% chance
After Week 319% chance
After Week 411% chance
After Week 56.25% chance
After Week 64.76% chance
After Week 73.85% chance
After Week 83.85% chance
After Week 93.85% chance
After Week 103.85% chance
After Week 113.85% chance
After Week 123.85% chance

2023 New York Giants Schedule

Week 1 vs. Dallas CowboysGiants (0-1) lose 40-0
Week 2 at Arizona CardinalsGiants (1-1) win 31-28
Week 3 at San Francisco 49ersGiants (1-2) lose 30-12
Week 4 vs. Seattle SeahawksGiants (1-3) lose 24-3
Week 5 at Miami DolphinsGiants (1-4) lose 31-16
Week 6 at Buffalo BillsGiants (1-5) lose 14-9
Week 7 vs. Washington CommandersGiants (2-5) win 14-7
Week 8 vs. New York JetsGiants (2-6) lose 13-10 (OT)
Week 9 at at Las Vegas RaidersGiants (2-7) lose 30-6
Week 10 at Dallas CowboysGiants (2-8) lose 49-17
Week 11 at Washington CommandersGiants (3-8) win 31-19
Week 12 vs. New England PatriotsGiants (4-8) win 10-7
Week 13BYE
Week 14 vs. Green Bay PackersGiants -2.5, ML -130
Week 15 at New Orleans SaintsGiants +2.5, ML +110
Week 16 at Philadelphia EaglesGiants +7, ML +240
Week 17 vs. Los Angeles RamsGiants -3, ML -166
Week 18 vs. Philadelphia EaglesGiants +3, ML +130
Data Verified by ExpertNovember 30, 2023

The Giants' road has a little more margin for error now. Minnesota dropping two straight games has opened the door for New York a fraction. The Giants still need to likely run the table but there's a slight chance eight wins might be enough.

New York's playoff path still needs upsets and some help. Saquon Barkley and the defense still need a to step up in one huge final push.

2023 New York Giants Updates November 2023

Below is a timeline of important team update that could factor into the Giants playoff odds.

  • 📅 October 31: Giants sign QB Tommy DeVito to active roster and Matt Barkley to the practice squad.
  • 📅 October 30: Daniel Jones was cleared for contact on Monday which has sparked speculation he may play Week 9 versus Las Vegas. DT Leonard Williams was traded to the Seattle Seahawks for a 2024 second-round pick and 2025 fifth-round selection.
  • 📅 October 16: With Tyrod Taylor at quarterback, the Giants lose again to the Bills, 14-9.
  • 📅 October 9: Daniel Jones is feeling better after injuring his neck in Sunday's 31-16 loss in Miami. He is questionable for Sunday night in Buffalo.
  • 📅 October 3: Giants fall to 1-3 after home loss to Seattle as Andrew Thomas and Saquon Barkley may not return in Week 5 versus Miami either.
  • 📅 September 19: Giants announce RB Saquon Barkley will miss three weeks with an ankle sprain. Andrew Thomas may not play again in Week 3, and Azeez Ojulari may not either.
  • 📅 September 8: Giants extend K Graham Gano for three years at $16.5 million. Almost $11.3 million of the contract is fully guaranteed.
  • 📅 September 3: Giants restructure $6.3 million worth of Daniel Jones' contract. It may or may not mean a move is coming as this creates more salary cap flexibility.

Want to continue to get updates on the latest Giants moves? I'll add more news above every day throughout the NFL season as it happens. Make sure to bookmark this page to keep tabs on the Giants' playoff chances.

Key Contributors To Giants' Playoff Chances

QB Daniel Jones dropped off the board to win MVP and also to take Offensive Player of the Year award. Jones had one good half of football in 5.5 games. He missed three games then tore his ACL on a non-contact play in Las Vegas. Tommy DeVito (+25000 for OROY) is the starter now and has won consecutive games for the Giants. It may not be exciting but DeVito is getting the job done just enough.

Saquon Barkley's MVP number has gone off the board and the OPOY number too after Week 12. Barkley totaled a mere 52 yards from scrimmage. The bye week will let him rest that ankle.

WR Wan'Dale Robinson had four catches for 26 yards. TE Darren Waller remains out with that persistent hamstring injury. He was placed on injured reserve last Monday. WR Jalin Hyatt went off the board for OROY but had over 100 receiving yards for the first time on Sunday. WR Darius Slayton caught two passes for 16 yards.

CB Jason Pinnock had six tackles versus New England. LB Kayvon Thibodeaux had five tackles and 0.5 sacks in Week 12. Thibodeaux is still +20000 for DPOY. LB Bobby Okereke (still +20000 for DPOY) contributed 14 combined tackles. Rookie CB Deonte Banks (+10000 for DROY) had four tackles and a pass defended. Finally, S Xavier McKinney (OTB for DPOY) had 10 tackles and an interception. The defense had three interception in all and harassed New England's quarterbacks all afternoon.

Brian Daboll, the 2022 Coach of the Year, will not repeat (OTB at FanDuel NY Sportsbook) as Coach of the Year.

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Looking Ahead: Giants Playoff Picture

What is the Giants' path to the playoffs? Now, New York likely needs to win out to make the playoffs as they are two games behind the 6-6 Minnesota Vikings. The Giants are tied for last in the NFC East. They are now 4-8 under head coach Brian Daboll.

The Giants did better with QB Tyrod Taylor offensively but a rib cage injury in Week 8 put him on IR. TE Darren Waller re-injured his hamstring and is also on the IR. WR Jalin Hyatt managed a career-high 109 yards receiving on Sunday. New York still needed several turnovers and a missed field goal to win a game. Tommy DeVito is getting the team wins.

Star RB Saquon Barkley's short-term future is growing more interesting. That high-ankle sprain bothered him a few times on Sunday. He needs that week of rest for the final push to come.

Week 12 saw that playoff door open ever so slightly more. New York will be scoreboard watching for Week 13 as they have the week off.

Do the Giants Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

As of now, the New York Giants still are at a 3.85% chance of making the playoffs. Sunday sees the Giants getting a rest with the bye for Week 13. NY sports betting apps still have a glimmer of hope for the Giants to make the playoffs despite now being two games out of a wild card spot.

The reigning conference champion Eagles (10-1) are still favored to win the division again with a 91.67% chance. Philadelphia's chance to make the playoffs is a lock at 99.9%. The Cowboys (8-3) feasted on Washington. Dallas now has a 12.5% chance to win the division and now 99.1% to make the playoffs after Week 12.

For now, Tommy DeVito is the starting quarterback but that may be permanent going forward.

The Giants offense totaled 220 yards and took advantage of New England miscues in the narrow 10-7 win on Sunday afternoon.

The defensive unit allowed 283 yards on Sunday but only seven points. DT Dexter Lawrence, Kayvon Thibodeaux, and safety Xavier McKinney remain vital to the Giants' fortunes.

New York's defense bent but did not break. They caused three more interceptions. The third helped set up the game-winning field goal on Sunday.

Are The Giants Out Of The Playoffs?

As of now, the Giants are not out of playoff contention yet. Every team is still technically alive in the playoff hunt for 2023 as the NFL season is 12 weeks in.

I'll update here each week during the NFL season to get updates on the Giants' playoff chances and playoff picture as their odds change.

Week 12 saw the New York Giants stay steady again with a 3.85% chance to make the playoffs. The playoff picture, at 4-8 appears the same, but this week offers a respite with the bye.

Where Do the Giants Rank in the NFC East?

The New York Giants' playoff chances are 3.85% which rank last in the division behind the Dallas Cowboys at 99.1%. Washington also is at 3.85% now after Week 12. Philadelphia is a lock to make the postseason.

When it comes to the Giants' chances in the NFC East, a touch schedule with injuries is a recipe for disaster. PFF ranked it as the toughest in the league. The New York Giants and Washington Redskins are OTB through 12 weeks as Philadelphia and Dallas remain the head of the class.

So far, the New York Giants are 4-8 in 2023. Here are the current 2023 NFC East standings:

  1. Philadelphia Eagles 10-1
  2. Dallas Cowboys 8-3
  3. New York Giants 4-8
  4. Washington Commanders 4-8

The Philadelphia Eagles went to the Super Bowl, where they lost to the Kansas City Chiefs. Dallas was eliminated in the Wild Card round by the San Francisco 49ers. The Commanders struggled to a .500 mark and did not make the playoffs.

This year New York is still looking up at the division. Philadelphia leads with one blemish while Dallas has lost three times. Washington and New York have now switched places when it comes to the basement.

Where Do The Giants Rank In the NFC Playoff Standings?

New York narrowly made the playoffs in 2022, going 3-6-1 in their final 10 games. The red flags surfaced early in 2023. At 2-8, the Giants' playoff standing is in deep jeopardy.

The New York Giants still rank tied for last to win the NFC, which puts them on the outside looking in as seven teams make the playoffs. As for Super Bowl numbers, the Giants are also tied for last among NFC teams at +100000. New York still needs wins.

Where Do The Giants Rank In the NFC Wild Card Race?

As the 2023 season began, New York was already on the bubble. The Giants will need to get to eight wins to have a chance at the playoffs.

After Week 12 the New York Giants are now in a battle with teams like Washington and whomever loses out in the NFC South potentially. Tampa Bay has a 28% chance of making the playoffs and Atlanta is at 54.95%. Even teams like Chicago and Green Bay are on the radar. Any team not Carolina in the NFC now has a chance. New York is two games out of the final spot occupied by the Minnesota Vikings (6-6).

Can The Giants Get The No. 1 Seed?

The New York Giants' chances in gaining the No. 1 seed are realistically at zero. 6.5 games behind Philadelphia spells doom. At this juncture, the wildcard is even a daunting challenge.

Philadelphia is +190 to win the NFC, Dallas is +450 and the Giants are now +100000.

The Eagles and Giants close the season facing off in Weeks 16 and 18. New York needs to sweep those games and run the table to make the playoffs. At 4-8, the New York Giants still require a ton of help just to gain the seventh and final seed.

Any first-round bye chance (or better than the wild card spot) is gone.

New York Giants Postseason Outlook and Predictions

The New York Giants remain in big trouble for 2023. Brian Daboll and his coaching staff need several upsets and help. When it comes to the New York Giants, making plays has to happen on both sides of the ball. Right now, the defense makes enough plays at times. Their 10-7 win against New England was again more steady defense and some timely offense Green Bay looms on Monday night in Week 14.

This Giants team needs injuries and losses from the teams in front of them to have any chance of making the second season. Again, winning and a few upsets would help too.

New York just needs to keep on winning.

Yes, Baltusrol Golf Club remains on hold.

2023 New York Giants Offseason Timeline & Updates

  • 📅 August 24: Giants acquire DB/LB Isaiah Simmons from the Arizona Cardinals for a 2024 seventh-round pick. RT Evan Neal out of concussion protocol and good for Week 1 vs. Dallas.
  • 📅 August 6: RT Evan Neal is in concussion protocol and is questionable for Week 1 vs. Dallas. WR Wan'Dale Robinson (activated off PUP list August 29th) and CB Aaron Robinson are expect to return in Week 3.
  • 📅 July 26: LT Andrew Thomas signs five-year extension worth $117.5 million. $67 million fully guaranteed.
  • 📅 July 25: RB Saquon Barkley signs one-year deal worth up to $11 million, ending his holdout.
  •  📅 July 21: RB James Robinson and WR Cole Beasley sign to one-year deals.
  • 📅 July 17: RB Saquon Barkley and the Giants fail to come to terms on a long-term contract. 
  • 🗓️ May 15: ESPN's Mike Clay ranks the Giants' defensive line No. 1 in the league.
  • 🗓️ May 4: The Giants sign DT Dexter Lawrence to a four-year extension worth $90M.
  • 🗓️ April 29: The Giants select Oklahoma RB Eric Gray, Old Dominion CB Tre Hawkins III, Oregon DT Jordon Riley and Houston S Gervarrius Owens on Day 3 of the 2023 NFL Draft. ... RB Saquon Barkley's representatives will reconvene with the team on contract talks, per ESPN.
  • 🗓️ April 28: The Giants select Minnesota OL John Michael Schmitz and Tennessee WR Jalin Hyatt in the second and third rounds, respectively, of the 2023 NFL Draft.
  • 🗓️ April 27: The Giants select Maryland CB Deonte Banks in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft.
  • 🗓️ April 24: DT A'Shawn Robinson, who won Super Bowl LVI with the Rams, signs a 1-year, $5M deal.
  • 🗓️ April 17: Team offseason workouts begin. RB Saquon Barkley and DE Dexter Lawrence do not attend as their contract disputes continue.
  • 🗓️ April 12: RB Saquon Barkley does not plan to sign the franchise tag before the team's offseason workouts, per ESPN.
  • 🗓️ March 23: The Giants sign S Bobby McCain and WR Jamison Crowder to 1-year deals.
  • 🗓️ March 20: WR Darius Slayton returns to the team on a 2-year, $12M deal.
  • 🗓️ March 17: The Giants add former Colts WR Parris Campbell on a 1-year deal worth just under $5M. Former Giants S Julian Love, who led the team in tackles and interceptions in 2022, signs a 2-year deal with the Seahawks.
  • 🗓️ March 16: Free-agent LB Bobby Okereke signs with the team on a 4-year, $40M deal.
  • 🗓️ March 15: The Giants acquire TE Darren Waller from the Las Vegas Raiders in exchange for a third-round draft pick. Fan-favorite WR Sterling Shepard re-signs on a 1-year deal. WR Kenny Golladay's contract is terminated, freeing up $6.7M in cap space.
  • 🗓️ March 8: GM Joe Schoen says the team is working on long-term deals for RB Saquon Barkley and DT Dexter Lawrence.
  • 🗓️ March 7: The Giants announce they signed QB Daniel Jones to a 4-year, $160 million contract extension. The Giants place the non-exclusive franchise tag on RB Saquon Barkley, giving the sides one year to agree to a long-term contract.
  •  🗓️ Feb. 16: The Giants re-sign surprise standout WR Isaiah Hodgins to a one-year deal.

New York Giants' Playoffs FAQs


Chris Wassel is a sports writer who has covered hockey and sports betting for many years. He was a beat writer for the New Jersey Devils and worked at several sites. In his 15-plus years of writing, Chris has written for places ranging from USA Today to Canada Sports Betting, numberFire, NHL Rumors, and beyond.

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