Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances Week 16: Tracking the Bills Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Shannon Lane

The Bills (8-6) are at a 65.3% chance to make the playoffs, according to their -188 odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. The Bills' Super Bowl odds shortened again after their 31-10 win over the Dallas Cowboys, as they are now +1400, good for having the seventh-best odds in the NFL.


Josh Allen looks to the left

What are the Bills Playoff Chances?

The Bills' playoff chances are 65.3%, according to their -188 odds to make the playoffs from FanDuel Sportsbook New York.

πŸ”₯ Bills Playoff Chances65.3% chance
🚫 Bills Miss Playoffs34.7% chance
πŸ‘‘ Bills Win Super Bowl6.7% chance
πŸ† Bills Win AFC11.8% chance
⭐️ Bills Win AFC East31.3% chance
βœ… Odds Last VerifiedFebruary 16, 2024

To get the percent chance, I converted the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook into an implied probability. Every NFL team has odds to make or miss the playoffs, which converts to an implied probability of making or missing the playoffs. BetMGM currently has the Bills at -188 to make the playoffs, which converts into a 65.3% chance of making the postseason.

The Buffalo Bills picked up a massive 30-10 statement win over the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday. Buffalo's playoff odds drastically changed, while the Bills still have a shot at winning the AFC East.

Bills Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

The Bills currently have a 65.3% chance of making the playoffs and we will be updating it after every single game throughout the NFL season.

↔️ Preseason72.6% chance
After Week 166.7% chance
After Week 271.4% chance
After Week 375% chance
After Week 485.7% chance
After Week 582.6% chance
After Week 682.6% chance
After Week 763.6% chance
After Week 864.3% chance
After Week 954.5% chance
After Week 1036.2% chance
After Week 1138.5% chance
After Week 1221.7% chance
After Week 1321.1% chance
After Week 1450% chance
After Week 1565.3% chance
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Bills Schedule and Betting Lines

Below is a week-by-week look at the Bills schedule, each game's point spread and the latest Bills moneyline.

πŸ“… Week 1 @ New York JetsBills (0-1) lose 22-16 (OT)
πŸ“… Week 2 vs. Las Vegas RaidersBills (1-1) win 38-10
πŸ“… Week 3 @ Washington CommandersBills (2-1) win 37-3
πŸ“… Week 4 vs. Miami DolphinsBills (3-1) win 48-20
πŸ“… Week 5 vs. JAX (London)Bills (3-2) lose 25-20
πŸ“… Week 6 vs. NYG (Sunday Night Football)Bills (4-2) win 14-9
πŸ“… Week 7 @ New England PatriotsBills (4-3) lose 29-25
πŸ“… Week 8 vs. TB (Thursday Night Football)Bills (5-3) win 24-18
πŸ“… Week 9 @ CIN (Sunday Night Football)Bills (5-4) lose 24-18
πŸ“… Week 10 vs. DEN (Monday Night Football)Bills (5-5) lose 24-22
πŸ“… Week 11 vs. New York JetsBills (6-5) win 32-6
πŸ“… Week 12 @ Philadelphia EaglesBills (6-6) lose 37-34 (OT)
πŸ“… Week 13BYE
πŸ“… Week 14 @ Kansas City ChiefsBills (7-6) win 20-17
πŸ“… Week 15 vs. Dallas CowboysBills (8-6) win 30-10
πŸ“… Week 16 @ LAC (Saturday)🏈 Bills -10.5, ML -770
πŸ“… Week 17 vs. NE (New Year's Eve)🏈 Bills -6.5, ML -270
πŸ“… Week 18 @ Miami Dolphins🏈 Bills +1.5, ML +102
βœ… Data Verified by ExpertFebruary 16, 2024

Buffalo had a statement-making win on Sunday with a 30-10 blowout victory over the Dallas Cowboys. The Bills will go on the road to play the Los Angeles Chargers on Saturday night.

Bills Playoff Chances: Key Updates February 2024

  • πŸ“… Dec. 17: Bills rout Cowboys 30-10.
  • πŸ“… Dec. 10: Bills beat Chiefs 20-17.
  • πŸ“… Dec. 9: Bills activate TE Dawson Knox off injured reserve.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 26: Bills lose 37-34 in OT to the Eagles.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 19: Bills rout Jets 32-6.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 14: Bills fire offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 13: Bills lose 24-22 to the Broncos.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 5: Bills lose 24-18 to the Bengals.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 30: Bills sign RB Leonard Fournette.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 23: Bills TE Dawson Knox undergoes wrist surgery.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 9: Sean McDermott announces LB Matt Milano and DT DaQuan Jones are out indefinitely.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 7: Bills lose 25-20 to Jacksonville in Week 5.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 7: Bills activate DE Von Miller from IR, place CB Tre'Davious on IR.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 2: Bills reveal DE Von Miller will return to practice this week after missing the first four games.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 2: Bills announce CB Tre'Davious White will miss the remainder of the season with a torn Achilles.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 1: Bills blowout Dolphins 48-20 in Week 4.
  • πŸ“… Sept. 12: Bills lose 22-16 to the Jets in Week 1.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 29: Bills place Von Miller on PUP, to miss first four games.
  • πŸ“… Aug. 15: Bills OT Brandon Shell announces retirement from NFL.
  • πŸ“… July 25: Bills place RB/KR Nyheim Hines on Reserve/NFI (non-football injury) list. 
  • πŸ“… July 23: Bills announce contract extensions for head coach Sean McDermot and GM Brandon Beane through the 2027 season.
  • πŸ“… June 13: WR Stefon Diggs meets with team leaders and doctors in Buffalo, but does not participate in minicamp.
  • πŸ“… June 6: Bills sign DE Leonard Floyd to a one-year deal.
  • πŸ“… June 5: Bills sign DT Ed Oliver to a four-year contract extension.
  • πŸ“… May 23: WR Stefon Diggs is among Bills players skipping OTAs.
  • πŸ“… April 29: Florida WR Justin Shorter, Ole Miss guard Nick Broeker and Oregon St. CB Alex Austin are drafted on Day 3.
  • πŸ“… April 28: Florida guard O'Cyrus Torrence and Tulane LB Dorian Williams are drafted on Day 2.
  • πŸ“… April 27: The Bills draft Utah TE Dalton Kincaid with the 25th pick in the 2023 NFL Draft to bolster their tight end room.
  • πŸ“… April 20: Buffalo signs kicker Tyler Bass to a four-year, $21M contract extension.
  • πŸ“… April 18: The Bills re-sign DE Shaq Lawson to a one-year deal.
  • πŸ“… April 17: Buffalo re-signs LB A.J. Klein to a one-year deal.
  • πŸ“… April 6: The Bills re-sign DT Jordan Phillips to a one-year deal.
  • πŸ“… March 31: Buffalo signs safety Taylor Rapp to a one-year deal.
  • πŸ“… March 21: The Bills sign former Patriots RB Damien Harris to a one-year deal.
  • πŸ“… March 17: The Bills release WR Isaiah McKenzie and re-sign CB Dane Jackson to a one-year deal.
  • πŸ“… March 16: The Bills sign QB Kyle Allen, guard Connor McGovern, and WR Deonte Harty to strengthen their offense.
  • πŸ“… March 15: The Bills re-sign safety Jordan Poyer to a two-year deal.
  • πŸ“… March 12: Buffalo re-signs starting LB Matt Milano to a two-year contract extension.
  • πŸ“… Feb. 28: The Bills announce defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier is taking a leave of absence. He has been the team’s defensive coordinator since 2017.

Bookmark this page for more news updates on the Buffalo Bills throughout the season.

Key Contributors Towards Bills Playoff Chances

The Bills are led by quarterback Josh Allen, who is one of the best players in the NFL, and his MVP odds shortened after the Bills' win over the Cowboys as it's now at +800, which is good for third.

Also in the NFL honors conversation, safety Damar Hamlin has a 85.7% chance of winning Comeback Player of the Year after his miraculous recovery from sustaining cardiac arrest on the field vs. the Bengals last season. Hamlin was active once again in Week 15.

On defense, Buffalo will be led by their defensive line featuring Von Miller, Greg Rousseau, and Leonard Floyd as well as starting safeties Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer. Both dealt with injuries last season.

Where Can I Bet on the Bills to Make the Playoffs?

Currently, you can bet on the Bills' playoff chances at BetMGM NY, DraftKings NY, and any other NY sportsbook.

The Bills are now favored to miss the playoffs, but if you have faith in Buffalo to make the playoffs, most NY sportsbooks will offer these betting options.

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Looking Ahead: Bills' Playoff Picture

The Bills are now favored to make the playoffs for the first time since Week 9. The Bills have not missed the playoffs since 2018, but Buffalo is still not favored to win the AFC East for the first time since 2019.

The Bills are coming off a disappointing season, having been blown out by the Bengals in the AFC Division Round after making the AFC Championship game the year prior.

Buffalo, however, will enter the season without Pro Bowl LB Tremaine Edmunds, who left in free agency to sign with the Chicago Bears. Who starts in his place is yet to be determined, but Tyrel Dodson has been getting the bulk of first-team reps in practice and preseason games.

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Do the Bills Have A Chance To Make The Playoffs?

Yes, the Buffalo Bills have a chance of making the playoffs. The Bills sit at a 65.3% chance of making the playoffs.

Are the Bills Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Bills are not out of the playoffs as Buffalo is 8-6. FanDuel is giving Buffalo a 34.7% chance of missing the playoffs, but the Bills remain outside looking in through 15 weeks.

Where Do the Buffalo Bills Rank in the AFC Playoff Standings?

Buffalo is currently the ninth seed in the AFC playoff standings as the Bills are not in a playoff spot.

Where Do the Buffalo Bills Rank in the AFC Wild Card Race?

The Bills are currently holding onto the ninth seed in the AFC, but have the same record as the Cincinnati Bengals and the Indianapolis Colts who holding onto the final two wild card spots.

Can the Buffalo Bills Get the No. 1 Seed?

Yes, the Bills still can get the No. 1 seed in the AFC, although it is unlikely. One more win for the Ravens or a loss for Buffalo rules out the chances of getting the No. 1 seed.

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Bills Postseason Outlook and Predictions

As long as Josh Allen is at quarterback, the Bills are one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. However, a knock on offense is at wide receiver, where the Bills do not have a clear-cut No. 2 option behind Stefon Diggs.

The big news for the Bills was the fact they were able to re-sign S Jordan Poyer. LB Von Miller is expected to be back in the first few weeks, which gives Buffalo's pass rush a huge boost. The defense will be intensely watched after it struggled against the Bengals in the playoffs last season, and after losing Pro Bowl LB Tremaine Edmunds in free agency.

Ultimately, Buffalo is one of the most complete teams in the NFL and should be among the favorites to win the Super Bowl and will likely win the AFC East for the fourth straight year.

Buffalo Bills Playoffs FAQ

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