What are the Bills Playoff Chances?
The Bills' playoff chances are some of the best in the NFL. They are the favorite to win the AFC East with -10000 odds, according to DraftKings Sportsbook New York.
| 🔥 Bills Playoff Chances | 99% chance (-10000) |
| 🚫 Bills Miss Playoffs | 4.76% chance (+2000) |
| ⭐️ Bills Win AFC East | 90.9% chance (-1000) |
| 🏆 Bills Win AFC | 33.3% chance (+200) |
| 👑 Bills Win Super Bowl | 19% (+425) |
| ✅ Odds Last Verified | September 16, 2025 |
To calculate those percentages, I converted the odds into an implied probability. Soon, each NFL team will have odds of making or missing the playoffs, which converts to an implied probability of making or missing the playoffs.
The Buffalo Bills finished the 2024-25 season with a 13-4 record and the AFC East title. Their Super Bowl dreams were cut short after losing the AFC Championship to the Kansas City Chiefs. QB Josh Allen worked away with his first MVP, and the Bills have spent much of their offseason retaining key players and building a roster that could lead Buffalo to its first Super Bowl win.
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Bills 2025 Schedule and Betting Lines
The Bills kicked off their 2025 season at home on Sunday Night Football against the Baltimore Ravens. Ahead of the season, Buffalo is the only team to be favored in all 17 games.
| Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 vs. Baltimore Ravens | -1.5 ML -115 | Won 41-40 |
| Week 2 @ New York Jets | -6.5 ML -305 | Won 30-10 |
| Week 3 vs. Miami Dolphins | -12.5 ML -800 | |
| Week 4 vs. New Orleans Saints | -12.5 ML -675 | |
| Week 5 vs. New England Patriots | -8.5 ML -425 | |
| Week 6 at Atlanta Falcons | -5.5 ML -245 | |
| Week 7 BYE WEEK | NONE | |
| Week 8 @ Carolina Panthers | -7 ML -310 | |
| Week 9 vs. Kansas City Chiefs | -2.5 ML -142 | |
| Week 10 @ Miami Dolphins | -5.5 ML -238 | |
| Week 11 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -5.5 ML -238 | |
| Week 12 @ Houston Texans | -3.5 ML -185 | |
| Week 13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers | -4.5 ML -218 | |
| Week 14 vs. Cincinnati Bengals | -5.5 ML -238 | |
| Week 15 @ New England Patriots | -4.5 ML -218 | |
| Week 16 @ Cleveland Browns | -8.5 ML -410 | |
| Week 17 vs. Philadelphia Eagles | -1.5 ML -125 | |
| Week 18 vs. New York Jets | -9.5 ML -410 |
Bills Playoff Chances: Key Updates September 2025
The Bills have had a successful offseason, ranking as one of the most improved rosters by ESPN. Here is all of the latest news and developments regarding the Buffalo Bills that could impact their Super Bowl chances:
- 📅 Austin 13, 2025: The Bills extend James Cook, keeping him as their top running back through the 2029 season.
- 📅 April 24, 2025: The Bills select CB Maxwell Hairston in the first round of the NFL draft.
- 📅 April 21, 2025: The Bills sign DB Tre'Davious White.
- 📅 March 17, 2025: RB Ty Johnson re-signs with the Bills.
- 📅 March 15, 2025: The Bills sign ILB Michael Hoecht, WR Laviska Shenault Jr., and DE Larry Ogunjobi.
- 📅 March 14, 2025: Buffalo signs CB Dane Jackson and G Kendrick Green.
- 📅 March 12, 2025: The Bills sign DE Joey Bosa and WR Josh Palmer.
- 📅 March 12, 2025: Buffalo re-signs S Damar Hamlin and signs S Darrick Forrest.
- 📅 March 12, 2025: The Bills trade CB Kaiir Elam and a 2025 sixth-round pick to the Dallas Cowboys in exchange for a 2025 fifth-round pick and a 2026 seventh-round pick.
- 📅 March 11, 2025: FB Reggie Gilliam re-signs with Buffalo to a one-year contract.
- 📅 March 9, 2025: The Bills reach an agreement on a new deal with MVP QB Josh Allen that will keep him in Buffalo through 2030.
- 📅 March 9, 2025: Buffalo releases DE Von Miller.
- 📅 March 7, 2025: LB Terrel Bernard signs a four-year contract extension with Buffalo.
- 📅 February 25, 2025: The Bills re-sign WR Khalil Shakir to a four-year contract extension.
Bookmark this page for more news updates on the Buffalo Bills throughout the season.
Key Contributors Towards Bills Playoff Chances
The Buffalo Bills will be led by MVP QB Josh Allen and, as long as he remains healthy and plays up to his MVP standards, the Bills will remain a Super Bowl contender. Allen is also +550 to win MVP, which is tied with Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson for the best odds. After a strong 2024-25 season, the Bills' priority was to retain talent, and they did by re-signing players like RB Ty Johnson, FB Reggie Gilliam, and S Damar Hamlin.
Buffalo also added key players to its roster, including WR Josh Palmer, WR Laviska Shenault, DE Joey Bosa, and CB Dane Jackson, just to name a few. The Bills used the draft to add depth to their defense by selecting CB Maxwell Hairston, DT T.J. Sanders, Landon Jackson, and more.
Where Can I Bet on the Bills to Make the Playoffs?
Currently, you can bet on the Bills' playoff chances at BetMGM NY, DraftKings NY, and any other NY sportsbook.
The Bills are highly favored to make the playoffs at most NY sportsbooks ahead of the season.
Do the Bills Have A Chance To Make The Playoffs?
Yes, the Buffalo Bills have a chance of making the playoffs. The season has not yet started, and every NFL team has a clean slate and a chance to make the playoffs entering the season. Buffalo is a strong playoff contender with a 99% chance of making it to the 2025 postseason.
Are the Bills Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Bills are not out of the playoffs as the season has not yet started. We expect the Bills to make the playoffs in the 2025-26 season, with a low 4.35% chance of missing the playoffs.
Where Do the Buffalo Bills Rank in the AFC Playoff Standings?
Buffalo currently has the best odds to win the AFC at +425 and -1000 odds to win the AFC East. Here are the AFC East standings after Week 1.
| Rank | Team | Wins | Losses |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Buffalo Bills | 2 | 0 |
| 2. | New England Patriots | 1 | 1 |
| 3. | Miami Dolphins | 0 | 2 |
| 4. | New York Jets | 0 | 2 |
Can the Buffalo Bills Get the No. 1 Seed?
Yes, the Bills could get the No. 1 seed in the AFC in the 2025-26 season. It will come down to how well the Bills do throughout the season and where their competitor stand. Ahead of Week 3, Buffalo has a 57.5% chance of clinching the No. 1 seed.
Bills Postseason Outlook and Predictions
The Bills' offense is one of the best in the league, and Buffalo has worked to retain its key players in the offseason. Buffalo reached an agreement on a new deal with MVP QB Josh Allen that will keep him in Buffalo through 2030, and signed new weapons for Allen, including WR Josh Palmer and WR Laviska Shenault.
Buffalo also added to its offensive line, signing OL Kenrick Green. Defensively, the Bills made a major upgrade to their roster, signing DE Joey Bosa, DL Michael Hoecht, CB Dane Jackson, DT Larry Ogunjobi, and S Darrick Forrest. The Bills drafted CB Maxwell Hairston in the first round of the draft and selected other young talent that will bolster the defense.
Buffalo Bills Playoffs FAQ
The Buffalo Bills' playoff chances are high at 99%, based on -10000 odds at DraftKings. This indicates that oddsmakers believe that they are almost a lock to make the playoffs again, likely via winning the AFC East and attempting another run at the title.
No, the Buffalo Bills are not out of the playoffs since the season has not yet started. Ahead of the 2025 season, Buffalo has a 4.76% chance of missing the playoffs, and it would likely take a plethora of injuries for it to happen.
Yes, the Bills still have a chance to make the playoffs as the season has not yet started. The Bills are the favorite to win the AFC East, which would guarantee them a playoff spot. Ahead of the season, the Bills have an 95.2% chance of making the playoffs.
Fans can bet on the Bills to make or miss the playoffs at New York sportsbooks such as DraftKings and BetMGM, among others. You can also bet on the Bills to win their division, conference, and Super Bowl.
Author
Calli has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.
