What are the Bills Playoff Chances?
The Bills' playoff chances are some of the best in the NFL, according to DraftKings Sportsbook New York.
| 🔥 Bills Playoff Chances | OTB |
| 🚫 Bills Miss Playoffs | OTB |
| ⭐️ Bills Win AFC East | OTB |
| 🏆 Bills Win AFC | 27.8% (+260) |
| 👑 Bills Win Super Bowl | 13.3% (+650) |
| ✅ Odds Last Verified | January 20, 2026 |
To calculate those percentages, I converted the odds into an implied probability. Soon, each NFL team will have odds of making or missing the playoffs, which converts to an implied probability of making or missing the playoffs.
The Buffalo Bills finished the 2025-26 season with a 12-5 record and the AFC East title. They defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Stadium to start the playoffs. Now, they will head to Empower Field at Mile High to face the Denver Broncos in the Divisional Round.
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Bills 2025 Schedule and Betting Lines
The Bills kicked off their 2025 season at home on Sunday Night Football against the Baltimore Ravens. Ahead of the week, Buffalo is the only team to be favored in all 17 games.
| Week | Line | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 vs. Baltimore Ravens | -1.5 ML -115 | Won 41-40 |
| Week 2 @ New York Jets | -6.5 ML -305 | Won 30-10 |
| Week 3 vs. Miami Dolphins | -12.5 ML -800 | Won 31-21 |
| Week 4 vs. New Orleans Saints | -15.5 ML -1600 | Won 31-19 |
| Week 5 vs. New England Patriots | -8.5 ML -440 | Lost 23-20 |
| Week 6 at Atlanta Falcons | -3.5 ML -198 | Lost 24-14 |
| Week 7 BYE WEEK | NONE | |
| Week 8 @ Carolina Panthers | -7 ML -355 | Won 40-9 |
| Week 9 vs. Kansas City Chiefs | +1.5 ML +105 | Won 28-21 |
| Week 10 @ Miami Dolphins | -8.5 ML -410 | Lost 30-13 |
| Week 11 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -5.5 ML -230 | Won 44-32 |
| Week 12 @ Houston Texans | -3.5 ML -198 | Lost 23-18 |
| Week 13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers | -3.5 ML -305 | Won 26-7 |
| Week 14 vs. Cincinnati Bengals | -6 ML -290 | Won 39-34 |
| Week 15 @ New England Patriots | -1.5 ML -115 | Won 35-31 |
| Week 16 @ Cleveland Browns | -10 ML -550 | Won 23-20 |
| Week 17 vs. Philadelphia Eagles | -2.5 ML -142 | Lost 13-12 |
| Week 18 vs. New York Jets | -8.5 ML -440 | Won 35-8 |
| Wild Card Game @ Jacksonville Jaguars | -1.5 ML -122 | Won 27-24 |
| Divisional Round @ Denver Broncos | +1.5, ML -108 |
Bills Playoff Chances: Key Updates January 2026
The Bills have had a successful offseason, ranking as one of the most improved rosters by ESPN. Here is all of the latest news and developments regarding the Buffalo Bills that could impact their Super Bowl chances:
- 📅 August 13, 2025: The Bills extend James Cook, keeping him as their top running back through the 2029 season.
- 📅 April 24, 2025: The Bills select CB Maxwell Hairston in the first round of the NFL draft.
- 📅 April 21, 2025: The Bills sign DB Tre'Davious White.
- 📅 March 17, 2025: RB Ty Johnson re-signs with the Bills.
- 📅 March 15, 2025: The Bills sign ILB Michael Hoecht, WR Laviska Shenault Jr., and DE Larry Ogunjobi.
- 📅 March 14, 2025: Buffalo signs CB Dane Jackson and G Kendrick Green.
- 📅 March 12, 2025: The Bills sign DE Joey Bosa and WR Josh Palmer.
- 📅 March 12, 2025: Buffalo re-signs S Damar Hamlin and signs S Darrick Forrest.
- 📅 March 12, 2025: The Bills trade CB Kaiir Elam and a 2025 sixth-round pick to the Dallas Cowboys in exchange for a 2025 fifth-round pick and a 2026 seventh-round pick.
- 📅 March 11, 2025: FB Reggie Gilliam re-signs with Buffalo to a one-year contract.
- 📅 March 9, 2025: The Bills reach an agreement on a new deal with MVP QB Josh Allen that will keep him in Buffalo through 2030.
- 📅 March 9, 2025: Buffalo releases DE Von Miller.
- 📅 March 7, 2025: LB Terrel Bernard signs a four-year contract extension with Buffalo.
- 📅 February 25, 2025: The Bills re-sign WR Khalil Shakir to a four-year contract extension.
Bookmark this page for more news updates on the Buffalo Bills throughout the season.
Key Contributors Towards Bills Playoff Chances
The Buffalo Bills will be led by MVP QB Josh Allen and, as long as he remains healthy and plays up to his MVP standards, the Bills will remain a Super Bowl contender. Allen is also +50000 to win MVP, which is currently among the best odds. After a strong 2024-25 season, the Bills' priority was to retain talent, and they did by re-signing players like RB Ty Johnson, FB Reggie Gilliam, and S Damar Hamlin.
Buffalo also added key players to its roster, including WR Josh Palmer, WR Laviska Shenault, DE Joey Bosa, and CB Dane Jackson, just to name a few. The Bills used the draft to add depth to their defense by selecting CB Maxwell Hairston, DT T.J. Sanders, Landon Jackson, and more.
Where Can I Bet on the Bills to Make the Playoffs?
Currently, you can bet on the Bills' playoff chances at BetMGM NY, DraftKings NY, and any other NY sportsbook.
The Bills are highly favored to make a playoff run at most NY sportsbooks ahead of the week.
Do the Bills Have A Chance To Make The Playoffs?
Yes, the Buffalo Bills have a great chance of making the playoffs and are in it. The Bills must now run the gauntlet on the road in the playoffs to have a chance at the Super Bowl.
Are the Bills Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Bills are not out of the playoffs as the season is not over yet. But their first playoff game was on Wildcard Weekend, and they defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-24. Now, they will travel to Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos.
Where Do the Buffalo Bills Rank in the AFC Playoff Standings?
Buffalo currently has the second-best odds to win the AFC at +350 and -250 odds to win the AFC East. Here are the AFC East standings after Week 1.
| Rank | Team | Wins | Losses |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | New England Patriots | 14 | 3 |
| 2. | Buffalo Bills | 12 | 5 |
| 3. | Miami Dolphins | 7 | 10 |
| 4. | New York Jets | 3 | 14 |
Can the Buffalo Bills Get the No. 1 Seed?
No. Not anymore. The Bills will be playing on the road to start the playoffs.
Bills Postseason Outlook and Predictions
The Bills' offense is one of the best in the league, and Buffalo has worked to retain its key players in the offseason. Buffalo reached an agreement on a new deal with MVP QB Josh Allen that will keep him in Buffalo through 2030, and signed new weapons for Allen, including WR Josh Palmer and WR Laviska Shenault.
Buffalo also added to its offensive line, signing OL Kenrick Green. Defensively, the Bills made a major upgrade to their roster, signing DE Joey Bosa, DL Michael Hoecht, CB Dane Jackson, DT Larry Ogunjobi, and S Darrick Forrest. The Bills drafted CB Maxwell Hairston in the first round of the draft and selected other young talent that will bolster the defense.
Buffalo Bills Playoffs FAQ
The Buffalo Bills' playoff chances are high at 100%, as they have officially clinched a playoff spot. Now, the Bills will play the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High in the Divisional Round after dispatching the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Wildcard Round.
No, the Buffalo Bills are not out of the playoffs. But the Bills defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Wildcard Round, and will now head to Colorado to face the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High in the Divisional Round.
Yes, the Bills are in the playoffs. But they lost on their chance to win the AFC East, and are currently playing the playoffs on the road. They passed their first test, beating the Jacksonville Jaguars, and will now face the Denver Broncos on the road in the Divisional Round.
Fans can bet on the Bills to make or miss the playoffs at New York sportsbooks such as DraftKings and BetMGM, among others. You can also bet on the Bills to win their division, conference, and Super Bowl.
Author
Calli has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.
