U.S. Presidential Election Odds: Latest 2024 Election Odds
As of September 30, 2023, Donald Trump (+175) has the best odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election per bet365, ahead of President Joe Biden. Although New York sportsbooks and other American operators do not allow political betting, here's the latest 2024 election odds and predictions.
2024 Presidential Election Odds: Top Candidates
Below, you'll find odds on top candidates, along with the predicted probability (%) to win the 2024 election.
NOTE: These odds are from bet365 in an overseas market. For now, you won't find Presidential Election odds, or any political odds, on New York betting apps, Vegas casinos or any sportsbooks. Wagering on politics remains prohibited in the US.
Table of Contents
Latest Updates Impacting the 2024 Election Odds: September 2023
- 📆 September 27: While the 2024 Presidential Election odds for Joe Biden and others have not changed since last week, Donald Trump's odds to win the Republican Nomination just got better. Trump is now -334 (77% chance) to become the Republican Nominee per bet365, while odds for Ron DeSantis went from +550 (15.4% chance) to +700 (12.5% chance).
- 📆 September 21: According to recent odds from bet365 and others, Donald Trump is now the betting favorite to win the 2024 Presidential Election. The latest odds have Trump at +175, while Joe Biden's odds are +200.
- 📆 September 19: For the first time in several weeks, candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump have the same 2024 election odds. According to the latest 2024 Presidential Election odds from bet365 and others, Biden and Trump are both around +185 to +195.
- 📆 August 23: The Republican party holds its first primary debate in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. The debate included Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Chris Christie, and others.
- 📆 August 14: Former president Donald Trump adds to his legal woes after being indicted for a fourth time. Trump remains far behind Joe Biden when it comes to 2024 Presidential Election odds.
Election Betting Odds Explained
Presidential election betting odds are the likelihood of an outcome from a gambling operator.
The 2024 Election odds above are listed in American odds with a plus-sign (+) and a number following, although Las Vegas and other American sportsbooks do not offer political wagering. The number is the amount a bettor would win on a $100 wager. For example, if a Presidential candidate has +200 odds, and a bettor wagers $100, the bettor would win $200 and net $300 if the candidate were to win the election.
While there are instances where sportsbooks offer boosted odds or increased profits like NY sportsbook promos provide, betting on the Presidential Election remains prohibited in New York and other states.
What is bet365?
A leader in the gambling industry for over 20 years, bet365 is one of the most well-known brands across Europe, Australia and other parts of the world.
Longshot Odds To Win 2024 Presidential Election
Here are some candidates who don't have the best Presidential Election odds, but still have at least a small chance of becoming president in the future.
NOTE: Sportsbooks in New York such as FanDuel NY, and sportsbooks from all other states still do not offer political betting.
2024 US President Odds: Month-by-Month
Here's a visual representation of how the odds for the Top 5 Presidential election candidates have changed since January 2022.
2024 Presidential Election Odds: Republican Nominee
Here are the top 3 candidates to win the Republican Nomination and run for President in the 2024 election, and their latest odds from bet365.
2024 Republican Nomination Candidates
Here are some more details on the current Republican candidates:
Donald Trump - Former President (2016-2020)
Despite legal woes, former United States President Donald Trump has remained in the Top 2 when it comes to odds to win the 2024 Election. No matter the news cycle, Trump seems to inevitably rise. In the Republican Nomination odds, he has moved comfortably ahead of DeSantis, the one-time, odds-on favorite. Some pundits believe any Republican break from Trump could cost the party his supportive base of loyal followers, so it seems unlikely Trump won't at least become the Republican nominee.
Ron DeSantis - Current Florida Governor
Ron DeSantis’ 2024 Presidential Election odds have plummeted as of late. It has been a long and steady fall for the man who once was favored to win it all. DeSantis has been embraced for not following the herd. He is also considered a Trumpian figure for the next generation, which means he is a viable two-term candidate. And DeSantis also could attract the centrist voters in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin that Donald Trump lost in 2020. The problem for DeSantis, though, is that his campaign seems to have elicited a collective yawn, and his Republican nomination odds are dwindling.
Vivek Ramaswamy - Entrepreneur & Political Candidate
A few months ago, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy was not very well known. As of late, however, he has entered the mix in the Republican Nomination conversation. Ramasamy, a nationally ranked junior tennis player who graduated as valedictorian from St. Xavier High School in Cincinnati, went on to Harvard and Yale but did not play on the tennis team at those schools. Many believe he is speaking well, taking strong but respectful stances, and using new-age media such as Twitter and podcasts extensively as he climbs.
Nikki Haley - Former South Carolina Governor
Nikki Haley’s 2024 Presidential Election odds currently rank fourth among all Republican candidates. Haley, America’s former UN ambassador, has said that “sometimes it takes a woman” in response to questions of how the GOP can reclaim the White House. Haley also has substantial leadership experience as the governor of South Carolina from 2011-17.
2024 Presidential Election Odds: Democratic Nominee
Here are the top 3 candidates to win the Democratic Nomination and run for President in the 2024 election, and their latest odds from bet365.
2024 Democratic Nomination Candidates
Here are some more details on the current Democratic candidates:
Joe Biden - Current U.S. President
Across most oddsmakers between early-2021 and mid-2023, Joe Biden was consistently the favorite to win the 2024 Presidential Election. This has changed as of late, however, as former President Donald Trump is now the election betting favorite. It appears Biden, who will be nearly 82 years old when voters head to the polls in November 2024, now has some ground to gain to reclaim confidence from oddsmakers.
Gavin Newsom - California Governor
Gavin Newsom’s 2024 Presidential Election odds have improved over the last several months. The Californian is wrapping up his first term as governor and is a popular figure. He beat Brian Dahle handily in the 2022 California gubernatorial election to shore up his support. He has endorsed Biden and said that he would not run. Commitments in politics are unbreakable, right?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr - Attorney & Political Candidate
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s 2024 Presidential Election odds are improving as of late. He has carved a niche and is now third among all candidates. On April 19, the environmental attorney (University of Virginia) announced he would challenge Biden for the Democratic nomination. He is the son of former US Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy, who ran for president in 1968 and was killed that June.
Michelle Obama - Former FLOTUS
Michelle Obama’s 2024 odds have climbed as of late. The former First Lady never ruled out running for president herself, and certainly would gain plenty of Democratic supporters. But can Obama capture the center ground as her husband did before her? Perhaps. But pitching Obama against Trump could be a risky strategy for the Dems, as Trump’s followers very much dislike the Obamas.
Kamala Harris - Current U.S. Vice President
Kamala Harris' 2024 odds are very low compared to other candidates. The former Senator made some headlines recently attacking DeSantis and Florida. Harris could be on the ticket with Biden again as VP.
Hillary Clinton - Former FLOTUS & Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton’s 2024 odds are +8000, meaning it is very unlikely she will win the election.
Non-Political US Presidential Election Odds & Candidates
When Trump first flirted with the idea of being president in 2013, plenty of people laughed it off as a publicity stunt. But naysayers of the celebrity businessman didn’t realize the extent of his emerging popularity.
It’s no surprise, then, that election betting sites are taking odds on other celebrity presidents. While sportsbooks such as BetRivers NY and all other legal US operators are not offering Presidential Election odds, here are some of the longshot odds from bet365 and their overseas offerings.
Tucker Carlson - Political Journalist & Pundit
Tucker Carlson's 2024 Presidential Election odds are +15000. The well-known political commenter has been discussed as a potential candidate to make the switch from entertainment to politics, but there has been nothing official out of his camp to suggest he would run in 2024. Carlson is popular among Republican voters, though, so should he consider a run at any political office, expect him to garner plenty of attention.
Elon Musk - Entrepreneur
Some bookmakers in Europe price Elon Musk at +20000 to win the 2024 Presidential Election. But what they don’t seem to realize – or don't care to – is that Musk was born in South Africa, and only US-born citizens can run for president. He's ineligible.
Joe Rogan - Podcaster, Broadcaster, Comedian
Joe Rogan’s 2024 Presidential Election odds are +50000. The presenter and podcaster was also tipped to run in 2020 due to the success of the Joe Rogan Experience. But his position within the GOP is more as commentator and cheerleader, rather than all-in politician. Rogan recently appeared to back DeSantis for president in 2024, saying “what he's done for Florida is admirable."
2024 Presidential Election Predictions
The race for the White House in 2024 is going to be close. On one side we have Donald Trump, Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis. The former president holds great power over the Republican party, the right-wing media and his supporters. Trump, who is fighting multiple indictments, now has the best odds to win the election, ahead of surging Ramaswamy, stagnant DeSantis, and all Democratic candidates. The field is getting crowded, with Haley, Scott, Pence, Christie and more having committed.
Where Trump is a polarizer, DeSantis could draw the GOP closer to the center ground and collect votes in the rust belt and among Hispanic voters. Meanwhile, the Democrats have a decision to make. Do they stick with Biden and go all-in on a second term? It seems odd to get rid of him as his odds are strong. Could a new figure lead the party and take on the GOP in a fresh campaign? Would that be Robert F. Kennedy or Gavin Newsom?
There is a lot of soul searching going on in Democratic camps. Harris, Newsom, Buttigieg, Whitmer, Obama, Clinton. It’s a strange make-up of old names and new figures who have yet to forge their political reputations.
Will Joe Biden Win in 2024?
President Joe Biden and Donald Trump have had similar odds for the last few months, but several questions remain. It's difficult to predict who will win the 2024 Presidential Election, and at this point, the chances are comparable to playing blackjack or roulette with online casinos in New York or other states.
Can Biden stay healthy? Can any legal issue derail Trump? Can any other candidates position themselves to enter the mix? Only time will tell.
Who Will Be the Republican Nominee?
Similar to Biden's questions, there are several looming questions among the Republican party.
Can DeSantis come back to life? Does Vivek Ramaswamy have a chance to overtake both Trump and DeSantis? It seems unlikely, but there still is a lot of time left.
Other Predictions For The Presidential Election In 2024
The 2024 presidential election can take a turn at any moment. The varying odds indicate that the margin for error is slim. President Biden and former president Trump are the top two candidates, but Gavin Newsom and Ron DeSantis could challenge the current leaders. The political experience of DeSantis and Newsom makes them viable options as president and intriguing candidates for voters.
US Presidential Election Odds FAQs
In April 2023, Joe Biden officially announced his run in the 2024 Presidential Election for the Democrats. Kamala Harris slid and Gavin Newsom endorsed Biden. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. looms as another one of Biden's Democratic threats. As of September 2023, a Biden-Harris re-run is likely.
President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump remain the top 2 favorites to win the election by a wide margin. Entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Attorney Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and California Gov. Gavin Newsom are also in the mix, but none have 2024 Presidential Election odds as strong as Joe Biden and Trump.
No, Donald Trump has not yet announced a vice president running mate for the 2024 Presidential Election. Georgia Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene appeared at a number of Trump rallies in the fall of 2022, sparking speculation that she is on the short list for the former president if he runs again, but it's still unsure.
DeSantis formally entered the Presidential Election race on May 24. Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and current South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem both would broaden his base and appeal to centrist conservatives. U.S. Sen. Tim Scott, a South Carolinian who entered the race for President on May 22, also stands out as a Republican with a gentler message.
Elon Musk's 2024 Presidential Election odds are listed at Ladbrokes at 200-to-1 odds (0.5% chance), but this is one of the few times you can guarantee that a longshot Presidential Election pick will not pay off. The billionaire SpaceX-Tesla-Twitter force was born in South Africa and is not eligible to run.
The big candidates to run for president from the Republican side are Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis. Although they remain the top two, the field has gotten crowded. In alphabetical order in the top tier: Chris Christie, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy and Tim Scott. Among others also in: Doug Burgum, Larry Elder, Will Hurd and Asa Hutchinson.
The 2024 United States Presidential Election will take place on Tuesday, November 5. 2024 Presidential Election odds are available now.
The 2024 US presidential election takes place on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. Americans can either vote on the day, vote in advance or request mail-in ballots.
Joe Biden is 80 years old. He was born Nov. 20, 1942. He will be 82 two weeks after the 2024 election, making it one of the more interesting Presidential elections in recent history. Joe Biden's odds have remained in the Top 2 since he became President.
No. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be 34 at the time of the next Presidential Election, and you must be 35 to be President of the United States.
Barack Obama cannot run for president in 2024 as he already has served the maximum two terms. Former First Lady Michelle Obama, however, could run. And in early August her 2024 Presidential Election odds improved to 25:1 (3.8%), good for seventh place.
Yes, and Donald Trump's odds are currently the best betting odds among all Presidential candidates. Trump announced on November 15, 2022 that he officially was in the running to become the 47th President of the United States, so 2024 will be the 3rd time he's ran in Presidential elections.
Perhaps. Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson hasn’t said he will or won’t run for president in 2024. His 2024 Presidential Election odds had plummeted in late April but he has rebounded in mid-August.
Possibly. There is no confirmation yet that Hillary Clinton will run again in the Presidential Election in 2024. While she has also not ruled it out, her Presidential Election odds indicate she likely does not have a good chance to win.
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